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- Will The Rate Cut Help?
Market Summary
It was a roller-coaster ride for traders last week as volatility spiked to
multi-year highs on the heels of a global market selloff. The timely decision
by the Federal
Reserve to cut interest rates by 75 basis points
helped relieve the immediate selling pressure, but only time will tell whether
this decision will be able to help prevent the economy from sliding into a recession. In our
last report, we mentioned it would be extremely risky to bet on a bounce at
this point, and we expect that this story will continue given last week's 2.2%
drop in existing
home sales. Thursday's disappointing figures put an end to the worst year
for U.S. home prices in almost four decades.
As you can see from the
charts below, the major indexes are all trading below the resistance of their
respective long-term moving averages. We noted that market participants were
not overly impressed with President Bush's $140 billion economic stimulus
package and it will continue to be interesting to see if this plan will help
give the economy the jump-start it needs to shrug off the weakness.
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